All the cool kids seem to be making their pre-election predictions…so I’ll join in as well.
- I think it’s going to be a fairly good night for the Dems. I’ll bet that Obama wins with 338 electoral votes, the Dems achieve 58 seats in the Senate (including Lieberman), and 249 seats in the House.
- I believe that Lieberman will be permitted to continue to caucus with the Dems and retain his committee chairmanship, as his support will be needed for cloture votes. However, I do believe that Lieberman will choose to retire in 2012, rather than run for the Senate again.
- I believe that both the Dems and the GOP will address their internal schisms: the intra-GOP battle between the religious right and traditional conservatives, and the intra-Dem battle between moderates and progressives. However, I believe the GOP schism will be resolved in 2010-2012, while Dem reform will come only after the next bullet comes true.
- I believe that Congressional Dems will not be fully on board with Obama’s message of “change and personal responsibility”. I believe that Pelosi and her minions will overreach, permitting the GOP to recover in public backlash in the mid-term and next general election. (It almost seems like 1992 all over again.)
- I suspect that not much will change in the next two years. The sheeple may be voting for “the other party” in choosing a President; but for the most part, the same jokers are headed back to Congress.
- Here in Connecticut, I believe that Question One will barely pass. Some folks will vote for a ConCon on principle (like I did); others because they genuinely want ballot initiative; and still others out of general dissatisfaction with the state legislature. However…
- I believe that the Connecticut state legislature will defang the resulting Constitutional Convention by gaming the rules of the ConCon and the delegate selection.
Those are my bets, and I’m going to stick to them (as much as I would like to be proven wrong on a few of them).
Anyway…have a good election day folks. Remember to vote…and to vote often, if you were registered by Acorn.