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Niagara162

Niagara162

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The Timing of McCain’s Must-Win States

2008 Elections

Following up on my assembling a cheat sheet for election night results-viewing, I note that Five-Thirty-Eight has run a final (or near-final) set of simulations on the expected outcome of the election, to identify which states are “must win” for McCain:

Also, there are some states that truly do appear to be "must-wins" for McCain. In [...]

No Need to Vote on Tuesday – The Winner is Known

2008 Elections

Seen at the Los Angeles Times:

Garry Trudeau’s "Doonesbury" is predicting a victory for Barack Obama, and newspaper editors around the country are debating whether to publish the comic no matter the results of the election. Wednesday’s strip is set in Iraq and features military characters huddled around a television that [...]

You Know it’s Bad for the GOP

2008 Elections

…when the party’s nominee for President jumps ship.

(via Kos)

Tonight’s Debate and a Revision to My Voting Plans

2008 Elections

That was a good debate tonight.

Who won?  I think McCain had his best performance this go round, and I think Obama held his own.  I’d call it either a draw or a marginal McCain victory…but I do think Obama won the full series of the debates.

McCain was a little weak in frequently drifting off topic [...]

Who I am Voting For

Libertarians

Tomorrow, my wife and I are planning to get and cast our absentee ballots for the November election.  Although Connecticut is stuck in the 19th century and restricts legal access to absentee status, we are eligible as I will be out of town on business on election day, and my wife is disabled.

On a whim, [...]

On Obama’s Tax Plan

Taxes

Monday, the Wall Street Journal ran a column criticizing parts of Obama’s tax plan:

It’s a clever pitch, because it lets him pose as a middle-class tax cutter while disguising that he’s also proposing one of the largest tax increases ever on the other 5%. But how does he conjure this miracle, especially since more [...]

Oblique Actuarial Sighting in Obama Campaign Ad

Insurance

A thread at the Actuarial Outpost brought this ad to my attention:

Contingencies, of course, is the bimonthly magazine published by the American Academy of Actuaries.  The current issue features articles from both the McCain and Obama campaigns on their health care proposals, along with a general overview/opinion from Cori Uccello, the AAA’s  senior health [...]

Debate Thought Du Jour

2008 Elections

I watched tonight’s debate on CNN, where one could also observe the real-time reactions to 25 metered undecided voters.

You know, it’s a shame that such real-time metering isn’t available to the debating candidates.  You could tell that when actual ideas were being expressed, and questions were being answered, real people reacted.  When attacking each other, [...]

So, Will McCain Vote Against the Über-Bailout?

Congress

KagroX at Daily Kos has been posting a summary of the Senate debate on their version of the bailout bill.

A few of the items found tucked into the bill include:

Page 279 — Rum excise tax to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands

Page 280 — Mine rescue / mine safety

Page 290 — Motorsports racing track facility

Page [...]

Debate Thoughts

2008 Elections

Just a few random observations:

I’ve been rather annoyed with McCain this past week  I have to admit that part of me would have loved to have seen him fumble tonight’s appearance.  He didn’t, and I suspect he “won” by being able to end his bad week on a good note.   [...]