Musings of MikeTheActuary

Wow.  It’s not every day you see two Atlantic Tropical Depressions being designated at the same time.

Say hello to TD 8 and TD 9, neither of which appears to be the mother-of-all-storms that the media seems to be craving.  The biggest question right now would seem to be which one will be named “Humberto” and [...]

While I was away, I wrote about some weather we encountered at sea.

That weather has a name. It’s Subtropical Storm Gabrielle, which now seems likely to make things on the Outer Banks a bit breezy and damp this weekend.

Not a big storm, but it’s nice to see that a fun part of my vacation [...]

There’s nothing like trying to catch up with the world, before the cruise ship sails out of San Juan’s cellular broadband range, only to notice that Tropical Depression 6 (probably soon to be Felix) has formed.

At least it’s currently forecast to not impact any of our scheduled port calls.

Looks like it might be a little breezy in the Rio Grande Valley this weekend:

From the National Hurricane Center:

Let’s see…it usually takes a good 7-10 days or so for the Caribbean and Gulf to recover from storm disruption enough to really support another storm. So, we’re still on track for an interaction of the jinxed lives my wife and I lead, and our planned cruise in a couple [...]

Seen at Dr. Jeff Master’s blog on Weather Underground:

NOAA released their August Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Update today. The forecast calls for a likely range of 13-16 named storms, 7-9 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes. The forecast is almost unchanged from their May 22 forecast of 13-17 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes [...]

The wire service carries a story on the most recent output of the random-number generator at Colorado State:

Eight hurricanes are likely to form in the Atlantic this year, with four expected to reach intense strength, experts said Friday in a downward revision of earlier forecasts.[...]

Eight of the tropical storms will strengthen into hurricanes, of which [...]

This week is turning into another week from hell, but I thought I’d pop up from my chaos to mention that the National Hurricane Center has declared TD3 about a third of the way from Bermuda to Cape Cod.

There’s an expectation that TD3 will briefly hit tropical storm strength (becoming “Chantal”) before going extratropical [...]

Via the Washington Post:

“It has been a very difficult time for everyone,” said Dennis Feltgen, a spokesman and meteorologist at the center. “The staff is ready to move forward. We are building very quickly to the height of the season.”

In January, Proenza took on the role of the nation’s chief hurricane forecaster, the bully pulpit [...]