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Second and Third Convention Thoughts of the Evening

Democrats

So, the choreography of the abridgement of the roll call, ending with Hillary moving to nominate Obama by acclimation, was very nicely done.

Sadly…why did they have to go and spoil the festivities with Chuck Schumer’s call for assistance in getting the Dems to 60 votes in the Senate?

The threat of either party having too much [...]

Odd Political Thought of the Day

2008 Elections

This afternoon, Hillary was overheard to say that she’d be willing to accept a nomination for Vice-President.

That statement got me to thinking:  What if McCain tapped Hillary for the number two slot?

Even though they differ in politics, McCain and Hillary are good buddies.  I’d bet that Hillary could draw enough support to deny Obama the [...]

Obama Clinches

2008 Elections

Seen on the AP wire:

Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois sealed the Democratic presidential nomination Tuesday, a historic step toward his once-improbable goal of becoming the nation’s first black president.[...]

Obama sealed his nomination based on primary elections, state Democratic caucuses and delegates’ public declarations as well as support from 22 delegates and "superdelegates" who privately confirmed [...]

Hillary Quote of the Day

Democrats

Seen at the Washington Post’s "The Trail" blog:

One thing about superdelegates is they can change their minds.

Even though I do not want to see a Democratic monopoly on power in Washington next year (all D’s is almost as bad as all R’s, in my opinion), it’s just about time to put the nominating campaign to [...]

Delegate Thought du Jour

Democrats

I have CSPAN on as I type, after having sweet-talked the remote away from my wife.

Looking at the "every vote counts" protest, I’m still left to wonder — whatever happened to belief in the fairness of playing by the same set of rules?

Dem Lawyers Say: Give Florida & Michigan Half Their Delegates

2008 Elections

Seen in the New York Times:

Democratic Party lawyers have determined that no more than half the delegates from Florida and Michigan can be seated at the party’s August convention, dealing a blow to Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s efforts to seat the full delegations from those states.[...]

In asking that the full delegations from these states [...]

Democratic Delegate Math Updated

Democrats

Last week, I posted my back-of-the-envelope arithmetic to double-check the sanity of Hillary’s delegate math.

In case anyone’s interested, here is an update to that reckoning:

Obama’s Lead

Delegates

Popular Vote

Tally as of 21 May

181

559,336

(RCP assumptions in caucus states)

…if FL & MI included

66

-63,745

Congrats All Around

2008 Elections

Well, another primary night has come and gone.  Hillary gets congratulations for winning Kentucky, Obama gets congratulations for winning Oregon, and Hillary gets congratulations again for her creative arithmetic and her tenacity for vowing to stay in the race until the final primary.

One happy thought — in two weeks the primary season will be over….and [...]

On Hillary’s New (Delegate) Math

2008 Elections

In the wake of the vigor the Clinton political machine has been putting into Hillary’s campaign since Indiana, I’ve been wondering “why”?    I’ve seen various pundits talking about different scenarios in which Hillary could stage a come-from-behind coup…but I haven’t yet seen a nice, clean description of how it might occur.

So, borrowing data from RealClearPolitics, [...]

Hillary Wins West Virginia

2008 Elections

Congratulations are in order for the Clinton clan it seems.

MSNBC declared Hillary the winner just as the clock turned 7:30, marking the official poll-closing time in West Virginia, suggesting a 2:1 margin of victory, and a net gain of roughly 10 delegates.

Of course, MSNBC also helpfully pointed out that if Hillary repeated that margin of [...]