In case you’re wondering, the outcome of recent contested Iowa caucuses has been (with eventual nominees bolded and in color):
- 2004 D — Kerry (38%), Edwards (32%), Dean (18%)
- 2000 R — Bush (41%), Forbes (30%), Keyes (14%)
- 1996 R — Dole (26%), Buchanan (23%), Alexander (18%)
- 1992 D — Harkin (76%), Uncommitted (12%), Tsongas (4%), Clinton (2%)
- 1988 D — Gephardt (31%), Simon (27%), Dukakis (22%)
- 1988 R — Dole (37%), Robertson (25%), Bush (19%)
- 1984 D — Mondale (49%), Hart (17%)
- 1980 R — Bush (32%), Reagan (30%), Baker (15%)
- 1976 D — Uncommitted (37%), Carter (28%), Bayh (13%)
- 1972 D — Uncommitted (36%), Muskie (36%), McGovern (23%)
And, while I’m on a roll…the analogous summary for New Hampshire:
- 2004 D — Kerry (38%), Dean (26%), Clark (12%), Edwards (10%)
- 2000 R — McCain (49%), Bush (30%), Forbes (12%)
- 1996 R — Buchanan (27%), Dole (26%), Alexander (22%)
- 1992 D — Tsongas (33%), Clinton (25%)
- 1988 D — Dukakis (36%), Gephardt (20%), Simon (17%)
- 1988 R — Bush (38%), Dole (29%), Kemp (13%)
- 1984 D — Hart (37%), Mondale (28%)
- 1980 R — Reagan (50%), Bush (23%), Baker (12%)
- 1976 D — Carter (28%), Udall (23%), Bayh (15%)
- 1972 D — Muskie (46%), McGovern (37%)
Enough rambling. Have a happy caucus day tomorrow, everybody.
