More Talk of Democratic Caucuses for Florida and Michigan

More Talk of Democratic Caucuses for Florida and Michigan

9 February 2008 · No Comments

This time the talk is coming from the Wall Street Journal:

Because they voted earlier than they were supposed to, the two states have been denied a say at the Denver convention. But leaders of the state parties—backed by Hillary Clinton, who did well in the nonbinding votes—are agitating for a voice.

That’s putting pressure on the two states to come up with a new delegate-selection process, perhaps a caucus or convention, that satisfies party rules.

A do-over has political risks. It would mean tossing out 1.8 million primary ballots cast in Florida on Jan. 29 and 600,000 ballots cast in Michigan on Jan. 15, possibly angering voters who could take their revenge in November against the Democrats.

But the alternative of sticking with the status quo and excluding the two states is equally risky. Michigan is a reliable Democratic state with big African-American and union populations. Florida is a toss-up state that the Democrats hope to win this year.

Somehow, I think the Dems are already in dangerous waters, due to the potential backlash from the perception of superdelegates picking the nominee, given the extreme unlikelihood of either Hillary or Obama getting a majority of the non-superdelegates due to the closeness of the race.

A revote would grant both Florida and Michigan what were (officially) trying to achieve from the early votes—extra attention from the candidates and relevancy of their contests.

Tags: 2008 Elections · Democrats · · · ·