So, Super Duper Tuesday is almost upon us. As you might expect, the media and the blogosphere is awash in polls.
Electoral-vote.com has a nice wrap-up, showing:
Dems
- Alabama: Hillary +3
- Arizona: Hillary +15
- California: Hillary +11
- Colorado: Obama +2
- Connecticut: Hillary +3
- Georgia: Obama +16
- Illinois: Obama +24
- Massachusetts: Hillary+15
- Minnesota: Hillary +7
- Missouri: Hillary +4
- New Jersey: Hillary +12
- New York: Hillary +22
- Oklahoma: Hillary +25
- Tennessee: Hillary +33
GOP
- Alabama: McCain + 19
- Arizona: McCain +20
- California: McCain +9
- Colorado: Romney +19
- Connecticut: McCain +19
- Georgia: McCain +1
- Illinois: McCain +11
- Massachusetts: Romney +27
- Minnesota: McCain +24
- Missouri: McCain +4
- New Jersey: McCain +19
- New York: McCain +31
- Oklahoma: McCain +18
- Tennessee: McCain +15
Of course, given the uniqueness of this primary season, I wonder about the accuracy of many of these polls. However, I’m inclined to believe that McCain will be close to being the presumptive nominee for the GOP, thanks to the winner-take-all nature of the Republican primaries.
Over on the Dems’ side…it could remain interesting, given the proportional delegate allocation used (plus the superdelegates, plus Hillary’s desire to get her delegates from “boycotted” Michigan and Florida seated…)