In case you’re wondering, the outcome of recent contested Iowa caucuses has been (with eventual nominees bolded and in color):
- 2004 D — Kerry (38%), Edwards (32%), Dean (18%)
- 2000 R — Bush (41%), Forbes (30%), Keyes (14%)
- 1996 R — Dole (26%), Buchanan (23%), Alexander (18%)
- 1992 D — Harkin (76%), Uncommitted (12%), Tsongas (4%), Clinton (2%)
- 1988 D — Gephardt (31%), Simon (27%), Dukakis (22%)
- 1988 R — Dole (37%), Robertson (25%), Bush (19%)
- 1984 D — Mondale (49%), Hart (17%)
- 1980 R — Bush (32%), Reagan (30%), Baker (15%)
- 1976 D — Uncommitted (37%), Carter (28%), Bayh (13%)
- 1972 D — Uncommitted (36%), Muskie (36%), McGovern (23%)
And, while I’m on a roll…the analogous summary for New Hampshire:
- 2004 D — Kerry (38%), Dean (26%), Clark (12%), Edwards (10%)
- 2000 R — McCain (49%), Bush (30%), Forbes (12%)
- 1996 R — Buchanan (27%), Dole (26%), Alexander (22%)
- 1992 D — Tsongas (33%), Clinton (25%)
- 1988 D — Dukakis (36%), Gephardt (20%), Simon (17%)
- 1988 R — Bush (38%), Dole (29%), Kemp (13%)
- 1984 D — Hart (37%), Mondale (28%)
- 1980 R — Reagan (50%), Bush (23%), Baker (12%)
- 1976 D — Carter (28%), Udall (23%), Bayh (15%)
- 1972 D — Muskie (46%), McGovern (37%)
Enough rambling. Have a happy caucus day tomorrow, everybody.

1 response so far ↓
1 Rick Moser // 4 Jan 2008 at 9:25 pm
Hey….thanks for this. I was surprised to see how Clinton did in Iowa in 1992. But Harkin was the favorite son. The comparison with New Hampshire is also very helpful. It will be so interesting to see what happens next week.