Seen at Dr. Jeff Master’s blog on Weather Underground:
NOAA released their August Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Update today. The forecast calls for a likely range of 13-16 named storms, 7-9 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes. The forecast is almost unchanged from their May 22 forecast of 13-17 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes (a normal season has 10-11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes).
Dr. Masters notes that given the lateness of the season and the lack of activity so far (we’re only at “C”), this would imply a very active peak-and-late season coming up.
Of course, with my wife and I taking a Labor Day vacation on a cruise to the Caribbean, and knowing our luck…I could have told you that. 