From Jeff Master’s blog at Weather Underground:
The NOAA team predicts a very high (75% chance) of an above-normal hurricane season, a 20% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 5% chance of a below-normal season. They expect 13-17 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes (a normal season has 10-11 named storm, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes).
Dr. Masters goes on to mention that the long-range forecasts for early June are starting to come out, and that he doesn’t see anything too out of the ordinary, as compared to a couple of hurricane seasons where unusual weather configurations lead to more storms than normal being steered towards the U.S. coast.
Of course, there’s no guarantee that such normality will prevail into the height of hurricane season in August and September.